Hegseth announces Pentagon probe into deadly strike on Iranian school

The Pentagon said Friday it has opened a formal command investigation into the Feb. 28 strike in Minab, Iran, where Iranian regime officials claim dozens of children were killed in a strike at a school beside a military compound. 

Questions continue to mount about possible U.S. involvement in the strike, the intelligence used before it and whether Iran placed military assets near civilians to shield them or weaponize potential casualties.

"CENTCOM has designated an investigating officer to complete a command investigation," Hegseth said, noting that the investigator is a general officer. "The command investigation will take as long as necessary to address all the matters surrounding this incident." 

The strike has drawn scrutiny as the investigation continues without answers. 

If U.S. forces carried out the attack, it would raise questions about how American military planners assess civilian risk in densely populated areas and whether safeguards designed to prevent unintended casualties functioned as intended in the opening phase of a high-intensity conflict.

CENTCOM, the military department tasked with overseeing the U.S. operation in Iran and all Middle East operations, has declined to confirm whether American forces launched the missile, saying only that "it would be inappropriate to comment given the incident is under investigation."

Iranian-American journalist Banafsheh Zand, who has been following the reporting in Iran, pointed to the school that has been there for more than a decade, reported affiliation with Iran's military. 

"The school itself was for the children of the (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) Navy, and it speaks volumes to where the place was and how they use civilian shields," she said. 

While the regime claims between 168 fatalities and 180 fatalities, mostly girls between the ages of 7 and 12, along with teachers and parents from the school, Zand told Fox News Digital that there has been no independent confirmation of the reported casualty figures. 

"There is no confirmation on the number of people, from anyone other than regime sources," she said. "Some people in the area said it was 65 boys. Sixty-five boys? What are 65 boys doing in a girls' school at 10:30 on a Saturday morning?"

Addressing satellite images that appear to show newly dug graves, Zand added: "The number of graves are not in keeping with the number of people that they claim is dead. It doesn't match up." 

The U.S. government has not confirmed the death toll. 

In response to the Times' reporting, Central Command reiterated to Fox News Digital that the investigation is ongoing. 

"We actually have judge advocates that sit there and help us through the process of targeting," Donegan told Fox News Digital. 

But even precision-guided weapons do not eliminate uncertainty.

"War isn't precise," Donegan said. "Mistakes can be made, and they can happen anywhere in the chain of events."

Raytheon, the manufacturer of the Tomahawk missile, could not be reached for comment.

Wes Bryant, the Pentagon's former chief of civilian harm assessments, said his office, the Civilian Protection Center of Excellence, was tasked with advising commanders on targeting and ways to mitigate civilian harm but had been severely curtailed over the past year. 

Bryant said that taken together, the available evidence strongly suggests U.S. involvement.

"All evidence, at this point, points to a U.S. strike," Bryant told Fox News Digital. 

If U.S. forces conducted the strike, Bryant said the more plausible explanation would involve a failure in target identification or civilian risk assessment.

"These munitions have a very small circular probable," Bryant said. "If it missed, it would have been within a few meters." 

"I'm leaning more toward that this is complete misidentification," from the U.S., he said, arguing that the likely issue would be a failure to properly vet or update targeting information rather than a random malfunction.

White House spokesperson Anna Kelly told Fox News Digital, "This investigation is ongoing. As we have said, unlike the terrorist Iranian regime, the United States does not target civilians."  

Open-source video analysis and reported missile remnants have fueled speculation that the munition resembled a U.S. Tomahawk cruise missile - a weapon Iran does not operate. 

The Tomahawk is a long-range, precision-guided cruise missile capable of striking targets hundreds of miles away and typically carrying a high-explosive warhead.

Independent open-source investigators, including Bellingcat, a Netherlands-based investigative journalism group specializing in open-source analysis, have examined video and satellite imagery from the area and reported that multiple strikes hit the compound within a short time window. 

However, commentators on social media have their own theories. 

"The wing-to-body ratio of the munition in question matches an Iranian Kh-55-derived Land Attack Cruise Missile," said podcast host and veteran Matt Tardio on X. "So what could have caused this? Simply put, GPS jamming of an Iranian KH-55. The USA and Israel were, and continue to actively jam the Iranian airspace."

Former National Security Council official Javed Ali, now a professor at the Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy, told Fox News Digital the central question is the quality of intelligence that informed the strike decision.

"How solid was the intelligence picture on that facility?" Ali said. "How good was the intelligence that went into what's called a target package?"

Ali, who previously worked on targeting analysis at the Defense Intelligence Agency, said military strikes are typically built from multiple streams of intelligence - human, technical, geospatial and open source - designed to provide high confidence that a structure is a legitimate military objective.

"Clearly something went wrong," Ali said.

Bryant said the Pentagon's Civilian Protection Center of Excellence and broader civilian harm mitigation enterprise were scaled back in 2025, reducing the number of personnel available to conduct investigations into civilian harm.

Its teams were designed to work with commanders on target planning to make sure targets were active military sites and advise on the potential for civilian harm, according to Bryant. 

The Pentagon has not publicly detailed the current status or staffing of the office, nor confirmed whether the office is involved in the ongoing Minab, Iran, school investigation.

An open source intelligence expert and former intel official, who requested anonymity, told Fox News Digital the structure resembles the other military buildings that were targeted in the strike, which could help explain how an intelligence misreading might occur and lead analysts to believe the site was another military facility within the compound.

Analysts say when civilian casualties occur during precision strikes, the explanations generally fall into three categories: intelligence failure, technical malfunction or human error.

Amos Yadlin, a former head of Israeli military intelligence, told Fox News Digital incorrect or outdated intelligence could lead to misidentification, while a GPS-guided munition could malfunction or be disrupted. Human error - such as incorrect coordinate entry - is another possibility. 

If an investigation ultimately finds negligence or a breakdown in targeting procedures, the U.S. military has a precedent for imposing consequences.

A U.S. military investigation later concluded that airstrike was "a tragic and avoidable accident" caused primarily by human error and procedural failures, with the medical facility mistakenly identified as a combat target.

"In that case, a couple of different commanders were removed," Bryant said, noting that accountability can range from administrative measures to the revocation of certifications, depending on findings.